Global Forecast: Mauritius Aims for 3.2% Growth in 2025

According to the latest projections from the IMF shared by Visual Capitalist, Mauritius is expected to achieve an economic growth of 3.2% in 2025, which aligns with the global average.

This week, Visual Capitalist published an overview of global GDP growth forecasts for 2025 based on estimates from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In this ranking covering 191 economies, Mauritius stands at the 83rd position with a projected growth of 3.2%.

The international institution has indeed revised its global economic outlook, now anticipating a rise in real GDP of 3.2% in 2025, up from 2.8% in its April forecasts. This revision reflects a more stable situation than expected, despite uncertainties surrounding trade tensions and restrictive monetary policies. Tariffs, which were initially expected to weigh down the global economy, have not produced the anticipated effects, while the recovery of the artificial intelligence sector supports activity in financial markets.

Regionally, Africa is performing well, with five of the ten highest growth rates expected to come from the continent. South Sudan tops the list with an expected growth of 24.3%, driven by the recovery of its oil exports. At the other end of the spectrum, Haiti is projected to experience a contraction of 3.1%. Beyond Africa, Guyana is benefiting from its oil boom, while Ireland is seeing positive momentum in the pharmaceutical sector with a projected growth of 9.1%. Major advanced economies are showing more moderate growth rates— the United States is expected to grow by 2% in 2025, and China by 4.8%, slightly down from 2024.

For Mauritius, the 3.2% projection reflects steady progress in a reshaping global context. Sustained tourist demand, diversification of exports, and financial stability are all factors that could support this trajectory. However, dependence on external markets and geopolitical uncertainties call for caution regarding medium-term prospects.

Expected Economic Growth of 3.1% in 2025 According to Statistics Mauritius

According to the latest estimates published by Statistics Mauritius, the growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at market prices is expected to reach 3.1% in 2025, down from 4.9% in 2024. This forecast is based on recent information regarding public and private investment projects, notably in road infrastructure, drainage, and social housing, as well as on measures announced in the 2025/2026 Budget.

The institution indicates that Gross Value Added (GVA) would also grow by 3.1%. Several sectors are expected to support this development, particularly financial and insurance activities, which would contribute 0.6 percentage points to overall growth. Wholesale and retail trade, vehicle repair, as well as agriculture, forestry, and fishing would each add 0.4 percentage points, while the transport and storage sector would contribute 0.3 percentage points.

These estimates take into account the global economic context and data collected in the first half of 2025, suggesting a moderate but sustained progression of national activity.